Data from 2019 shows that the only surface that single-handers were as effective as double-handers on 2nd serve return points was clay. On hardcourt it was somewhat closer; on grass, it wasn't. Two-handers were nearly 3% more successful than one-handers.
Grass is the most server-friendly surface. The ball doesn't lose as much speed when it makes contact with the court surface, giving the returner less time to react to what is universally the fastest shot in tennis.
The return of serve requires players to abbreviate their technique to make up for the time lost, and for one-handers, that's often more difficult to achieve.
Perhaps Roger Federer doing well on grass is not the rule but the exception? Perhaps having a one-handed backhand in modern tennis makes it MORE difficult to win at Wimbledon, not less?
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