The idea that a Russian victory is inevitable is prolonging the war. Both in the West and in Russia there is a bias toward thinking that Russia is stronger than they really are. This can lead western countries to curtail their support for Ukraine. And in Russia the belief in inevitable victory is a source of countless mistakes and endless war.
0:00 Intro
0:43 Russia wins eventually
1:32 Different measuring sticks
2:05 Russia is not really a giant in this war
3:07 When the West overestimates Russia
4:44 Leads to reduced support for Ukraine
5:24 When Russia overestimates Russia
5:48 Russia's assumptions in the war
7:25 Putin's most flawed assumption
8:44 Russia's reaction to losing
9:52 In denial about war realities
10:41 Motivation for peace talks
Footage from Ukraine by Anton Soroka / Pexels.
0 Comments